UPDATED: 10-13-25 17:46 PDT

cfp So Carolina 1
  
So Carolina           
W-L: ( 9- 3) PR = 96.6623

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 831 H Old Dominion SUN ( 5- 7, 91.1) 23-19 907 A Kentucky SEC ( 4- 8, 92.1) 31- 6 914 H LSU SEC ( 8- 4, 95.4) 33-36 921 H Akron MA ( 4- 8, 87.0) 50- 7 1005 H Ole Miss SEC ( 9- 3, 96.3) 3-27 1012 A Alabama SEC ( 9- 3, 96.5) 25-27 1019 A Oklahoma SEC ( 6- 6, 93.9) 35- 9 1102 H Texas A&M SEC ( 8- 4, 95.3) 44-20 1109 A Vanderbilt SEC ( 6- 6, 94.0) 28- 7 1116 H Missouri SEC ( 9- 3, 95.0) 34-30 1123 H Wofford 56-12 1130 A Clemson ACC (10- 3, 96.1) 17-14

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   831 H Old Dominion           23-19       4     6          -1.00
   907 A Kentucky               31- 6      25     4           1.30
   914 H LSU                    33-36      -3     2    --    -5.19
   921 H Akron                  50- 7      43    11           0.00
  1005 H Ole Miss                3-27     -24     1    ---   -6.25
  1012 A Alabama                25-27      -2    -1          -1.30
  1019 A Oklahoma               35- 9      26     2    +      3.13
  1102 H Texas A&M              44-20      24     2    +      2.70
  1109 A Vanderbilt             28- 7      21     2    +      3.24
  1116 H Missouri               34-30       4     3           1.41
  1130 A Clemson                17-14       3     0    +      3.38

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
  1005 H Ole Miss                3-27     -24     1    ---   -6.25
   914 H LSU                    33-36      -3     2    --    -5.19

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
  1019 A Oklahoma               35- 9      26     2    +      3.13
  1102 H Texas A&M              44-20      24     2    +      2.70
  1109 A Vanderbilt             28- 7      21     2    +      3.24
  1130 A Clemson                17-14       3     0    +      3.38

So Carolina Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Boston Col ` So Carolina insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) So Carolina
California So Carolina   So Carolina
Clemson So Carolina So Carolina  
Duke So Carolina   So Carolina
Florida St So Carolina insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) So Carolina
Georgia Tech So Carolina   So Carolina
Louisville So Carolina tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) So Carolina
Miami So Carolina   So Carolina
UNC So Carolina   So Carolina
NC St So Carolina insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) So Carolina
Pittsburgh So Carolina insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) So Carolina
SMU So Carolina insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) So Carolina
Stanford So Carolina insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) So Carolina
Syracuse So Carolina   So Carolina
Virginia So Carolina insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) So Carolina
Va Tech So Carolina So Carolina   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Wake Forest So Carolina insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) So Carolina
Army So Carolina   So Carolina
Charlotte So Carolina   So Carolina
Ea Carolina So Carolina tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) So Carolina
Fla Atlantic So Carolina   So Carolina
Memphis So Carolina   So Carolina
Navy So Carolina   So Carolina
No Texas So Carolina   So Carolina
Rice So Carolina   So Carolina
So Florida So Carolina tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) So Carolina
Temple So Carolina insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) So Carolina
Tulane So Carolina insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) So Carolina
Tulsa So Carolina   So Carolina
UAB So Carolina   So Carolina
UTSA So Carolina   So Carolina
Arizona So Carolina   So Carolina
Arizona St So Carolina   So Carolina
BYU So Carolina   So Carolina
Baylor So Carolina   So Carolina
Cincinnati So Carolina   So Carolina
Colorado So Carolina   So Carolina
Houston So Carolina insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) So Carolina
Iowa St So Carolina   So Carolina
Kansas So Carolina   So Carolina
Kansas St So Carolina   So Carolina
Oklahoma St So Carolina   So Carolina
TCU So Carolina   So Carolina
Texas Tech So Carolina   So Carolina
UCF So Carolina   So Carolina
Utah So Carolina   So Carolina
We Virginia So Carolina   So Carolina
Illinois So Carolina   So Carolina
Indiana Indiana   Indiana
Iowa So Carolina   So Carolina
Maryland So Carolina   So Carolina
Michigan So Carolina   So Carolina
Michigan St So Carolina   So Carolina
Minnesota So Carolina   So Carolina
Nebraska So Carolina   So Carolina
Northwestern So Carolina   So Carolina
Ohio St Ohio St tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Ohio St
Oregon Oregon   Oregon
Penn St Penn St   Penn St
Purdue So Carolina   So Carolina
Rutgers So Carolina tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) So Carolina
UCLA So Carolina tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) So Carolina
USC So Carolina insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) So Carolina
Washington So Carolina   So Carolina
Wisconsin So Carolina tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) So Carolina
Florida Intl So Carolina   So Carolina
Jacksonv. St So Carolina   So Carolina
Kennesaw St So Carolina   So Carolina
Liberty So Carolina   So Carolina
La Tech So Carolina   So Carolina
Middle Tenn So Carolina tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) So Carolina
NM St So Carolina insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) So Carolina
SHouston St So Carolina   So Carolina
UTEP So Carolina   So Carolina
We Kentucky So Carolina tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) So Carolina
UMass So Carolina insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) So Carolina
Notre Dame Notre Dame tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Notre Dame
UConn So Carolina   So Carolina
Akron So Carolina So Carolina  
Ball St So Carolina insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) So Carolina
Bowl. Green So Carolina So Carolina   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Buffalo So Carolina insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) So Carolina
Cen Michigan So Carolina   So Carolina
Ea Michigan So Carolina insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) So Carolina
Kent State So Carolina insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) So Carolina
MiamiOH So Carolina   So Carolina
No Illinois So Carolina tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) So Carolina
Ohio So Carolina insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) So Carolina
Toledo So Carolina insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) So Carolina
We Michigan So Carolina tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) So Carolina
Air Force So Carolina   So Carolina
Boise State Boise State   Boise State
Colorado St So Carolina   So Carolina
Fresno St So Carolina   So Carolina
Hawaii So Carolina   So Carolina
Nevada So Carolina   So Carolina
New Mexico So Carolina   So Carolina
San Diego St So Carolina   So Carolina
San Jose St So Carolina   So Carolina
UNLV So Carolina   So Carolina
Utah St So Carolina   So Carolina
Wyoming So Carolina   So Carolina
Oregon St So Carolina   So Carolina
Wash St So Carolina   So Carolina
Alabama Alabama Alabama  
Arkansas So Carolina So Carolina   2- 2 vs 0- 4
Auburn So Carolina So Carolina   5- 1 vs 2- 4
Florida So Carolina insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) So Carolina
Georgia Georgia tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) Georgia
Kentucky So Carolina So Carolina  
LSU LSU LSU  
Missouri So Carolina So Carolina  
Miss St So Carolina So Carolina   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Oklahoma So Carolina So Carolina  
Ole Miss Ole Miss Ole Miss  
Tennessee Tennessee insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 4- 0) Tennessee
Texas Texas tied - ( 4- 0) ( 4- 0) Texas
Texas A&M So Carolina So Carolina  
Vanderbilt So Carolina So Carolina  
App St So Carolina insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) So Carolina
Arkansas State So Carolina insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) So Carolina
Coastal Car So Carolina tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) So Carolina
Georgia So So Carolina insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) So Carolina
Georgia St So Carolina insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) So Carolina
J Madison So Carolina tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) So Carolina
Louisiana So Carolina   So Carolina
Marshall So Carolina tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) So Carolina
Old Dominion So Carolina So Carolina  
So Miss So Carolina insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) So Carolina
So Alabama So Carolina tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) So Carolina
Texas State So Carolina insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) So Carolina
Troy So Carolina   So Carolina
La-Monroe So Carolina   So Carolina

PowerWise = 121


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 12.10

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Old Dominion    ( 5- 7, 91.1)    23-19       -8.75       9.50      -0.91         1.10             9.46
   0 A Kentucky        ( 4- 8, 92.1)    31- 6       -7.85      10.41       0.91         1.10            12.45
   0 H LSU             ( 8- 4, 95.4)    33-36       -4.52      13.74      -0.91         1.10            -5.97
   0 H Akron           ( 4- 8, 87.0)    50- 7      -12.95       5.31      -0.91         1.10             4.85
   0 H Ole Miss        ( 9- 3, 96.3)     3-27       -3.58      14.68      -0.91         1.10            -4.93
   0 A Alabama         ( 9- 3, 96.5)    25-27       -3.44      14.82       0.91         1.10            -2.79
   0 A Oklahoma        ( 6- 6, 93.9)    35- 9       -6.01      12.24       0.91         1.10            14.47
   0 H Texas A&M       ( 8- 4, 95.3)    44-20       -4.63      13.63      -0.91         1.10            14.00
   0 A Vanderbilt      ( 6- 6, 94.0)    28- 7       -5.90      12.35       0.91         1.10            14.59
   0 H Missouri        ( 9- 3, 95.0)    34-30       -4.93      13.33      -0.91         1.10            13.67
   0 A Clemson         (10- 3, 96.1)    17-14       -3.76      14.49       0.91         1.10            16.94
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        86.73

winning pts = 100.4257 losing points = -13.6923

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------